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Rent vs buy in Winter Haven, FL

In Winter Haven, Florida, the typical rent is $1,686 /mo and a typical home costs $271,922.

Rent vs buy Winter Haven verdict card: Over 7 years, buying comes out ahead by $39k
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Over 7 years, buying comes out ahead by $39k

Today's mortgage rate and a 20% down payment apply alongside Winter Haven's typical rent and typical home value. The break-even point is year 4.

Clearly labelled opinion with the math shown. These are estimates, not quotes. If you change a number, the stamp will change with it.

How far owning is ahead
$39k
after 7 years
Break-even point
Year 4
when owning catches up
Full cost of owning
$2,409 /mo
year 1, against $1,686 rent

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The stamp draws on Winter Haven's typical rent and its home value. Your rent, price and chosen years can flip the result.

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In Winter Haven, which costs less, renting or buying?

Across 7 years, buying costs $39,455 less after including the money returned when you sell. In year 4, owning's net cost falls below renting's and remains lower.

Renting. Owning. Net cost so far for each year.

$0$100k$200k$300kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

Average rent compared with the mortgage payment in Winter Haven

At Winter Haven's typical price, every monthly cost in year 1 is listed, not only rent and the mortgage.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$1,686All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$1,483$1,307 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$1880.83% of the value a year
Insurance$132Census median for the city
Upkeep$2271% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$2,029$176 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$442What the cash would earn each year at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$1133.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$2,409Cash out, minus the equity portion, plus the two amounts above

The figures behind Winter Haven's result

Typical home valueZillow ZHVI, September 2026
$271,922
Typical rentZillow ZORI, September 2026
$1,686 /mo
Down payment20% avoids private mortgage insurance, which the engine does not model
20%
Mortgage rateFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
Home price growthFHFA house price index, Florida, 1995 to 2025
5.4% a year
Rent growthCPI rent of primary residence, yearly growth 2006 to 2026
3.5% a year
Return on savings60% S&P 500 with dividends and 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced yearly, 1928 to 2025
8.3% a year
Property taxCensus ACS 2020-2024, Winter Haven
0.83% of value
Home insuranceCensus ACS 2020-2024, Winter Haven
$132 /mo
MaintenanceFannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%
1% of value a year
Buying costsFreddie Mac, middle of 2% to 5%
3.5% of price
Selling costsAgent commission plus closing costs
6% of price

What would reverse the verdict in Winter Haven?

Each line identifies a switch point for Winter Haven's 7-year verdict, and every other factor remains unchanged.

Renting comes out ahead when

  • Home prices grow by less than 3.6% a year; the model uses 5.4%, Florida's long-run rate.
  • This condition applies when the mortgage rate stays above 9.79%.
  • Monthly rent for a home like this is below $1,260 (typical here: $1,686).
  • Before year 4, you move.

When buying wins

  • Home prices rise by more than 3.6% a year.
  • You lock in a rate below 9.79% for your mortgage (today's rate is 7.24%).
  • For the same home, monthly rent would cost more than $1,260.
  • You remain in the home for 4 years or longer.

Winter Haven compared with the other 812 cities

MeasureWinter HavenMedian city
Typical home value$271,922$422,451
Typical rent$1,686 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio13.4 (#705 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years6.9% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years3.3% a year4% a year
Property tax0.83%0.87%
Households that rent36%42%

Sources: Zillow ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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