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Rent vs buy in Laguna Niguel, CA

A typical home in Laguna Niguel, California, costs $1,493,093, while typical rent is $3,343 /mo.

Rent vs buy Laguna Niguel verdict card: Renting is ahead by $272k over 7 years
Rent

Renting is ahead by $272k over 7 years

Today's mortgage rate and a 20% down payment are paired with the typical rent and home value in Laguna Niguel's market. You reach break-even in year 25.

Clearly labeled opinion, with the math shown. These are estimates, not quotes. The stamp updates when you change a number.

Rent leads by
$272k
after 7 years
Break-even point
Year 25
when owning catches up
Actual cost of ownership
$12,370 /mo
year 1, against $3,343 rent

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Is renting or buying cheaper in Laguna Niguel?

After counting the money returned to you when you sell, renting costs $272,174 less over 7 years. For the first 24 years, renting costs less. In year 25, owning catches up.

Renting. Owning. Net cost to date, by year.

$2m$1.5m$1m$500k$0$500kyr 1yr 5yr 9yr 13yr 17yr 21yr 25yr 29yr 30

Average rent compared with a mortgage payment in Laguna Niguel

At Laguna Niguel's typical price, rent and the mortgage don't cover all costs. Here are all monthly costs in year 1.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$3,343All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$8,140$7,175 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$7470.6% of the value a year
Insurance$155Census median for the city
Upkeep$1,2441% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$10,286$965 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$2,427Annual return on the cash at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$6223.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$12,370Cash paid, minus the equity portion, plus the two amounts above

The figures behind Laguna Niguel's result

Typical home valueZillow ZHVI, September 2026
$1,493,093
Typical rentZillow ZORI, September 2026
$3,343 /mo
Down payment20% avoids private mortgage insurance, which the engine does not model
20%
Mortgage rateFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
Home price growthFHFA house price index, California, 1995 to 2025
5.3% a year
Rent growthCPI rent of primary residence, yearly growth 2006 to 2026
3.5% a year
Return on savings60% S&P 500 with dividends and 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced yearly, 1928 to 2025
8.3% a year
Property taxCensus ACS 2020-2024, Laguna Niguel
0.6% of value
Home insuranceCensus ACS 2020-2024, Laguna Niguel
$155 /mo
MaintenanceFannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%
1% of value a year
Buying costsFreddie Mac, middle of 2% to 5%
3.5% of price
Selling costsAgent commission plus closing costs
6% of price

What would make the Laguna Niguel result flip?

All other assumptions stay fixed as each line shows the point where Laguna Niguel's 7-year verdict changes.

Renting comes out ahead when

  • Home prices rise more slowly than 7.3% a year (5.3% is our figure, California's long-run rate).
  • The rate for mortgages holds above 3.97%.
  • A similar home rents for under $6,260 a month (the local typical rent is $3,343).
  • Your move happens before year 25.

Buying comes out ahead when

  • Home prices grow at more than 7.3% a year.
  • You secure a mortgage rate under 3.97% (today's is 7.24%).
  • If you rented the same home, you'd pay more than $6,260 a month.
  • You remain in the home for 25 years or longer.

Comparing Laguna Niguel with the other 812 cities

MeasureLaguna NiguelMedian city
Typical home value$1,493,093$422,451
Typical rent$3,343 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio37.2 (#18 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years8.1% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years4.2% a year4% a year
Property tax0.60%0.87%
Households that rent33%42%

Sources: Zillow ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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California rent vs buy: state numbers