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Rent vs buy in Lodi, CA

Lodi, California has a typical rent of $2,278 /mo and a typical home of $508,738.

Rent vs buy Lodi verdict card: Buying comes out ahead by $7k over a period of 7 years
Buy

Buying comes out ahead by $7k over a period of 7 years

The calculation applies today's mortgage rate and a 20% down payment, using Lodi's typical home value and typical rent. The break-even point is year 7.

Opinion, clearly labeled, with the math shown. These figures are estimates, not quotes. The stamp changes when you change a number.

Owning leads by
$7k
after 7 years
The break-even point
year 7
when owning catches up
Actual cost of owning
$4,285 /mo
year 1, against $2,278 rent

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For the stamp, Lodi's typical rent and home value are the inputs. The result can flip based on your rent, price and years.

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In Lodi, is buying or renting cheaper?

Over 7 years, buying costs $7,285 less when you include the money you get back from selling. In year 7, owning's net cost falls below renting's and remains lower.

Renting Owning Net cost through each year.

$0$100k$200k$300kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

Lodi's average rent compared with its mortgage payment

Rent and mortgage payments aren't the whole story. Here are all monthly costs for year 1 at Lodi's typical price.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$2,278All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$2,774$2,445 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$2840.67% of the value a year
Insurance$93Census median for the city
Upkeep$4241% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$3,575$329 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$827Annual earnings on the cash at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$2123.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$4,285Cash out, minus the equity portion, plus both figures above.

The figures behind Lodi's result

Typical home value: Zillow: ZHVI, September 2026
$508,738
Typical rent: Zillow: ZORI, September 2026
$2,278 /mo
Down payment: with 20%, private mortgage insurance is avoided, which the engine does not model
20%
Mortgage rate: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
House value growthFHFA's house price index for California, 1995 through 2025
Each year: 5.3%
Rent growth: CPI primary residence rent, yearly growth 2006 to 2026
Each year: 3.5%
Savings return60% allocated to S&P 500 with dividends and 40% in 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced yearly from 1928 to 2025
Each year: 8.3%
Property tax source: Census ACS 2020-2024, Lodi
The rate on value is 0.67%
Home insurance source: Census ACS 2020-2024, Lodi
Each month: $93
Maintenance: Fannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%
Each year, 1% of value
Buying costs: Freddie Mac, middle of 2% to 5%
Applied to price: 3.5%
Selling costs: Agent commission plus closing costs
Applied to price: 6%

What change would flip the result in Lodi?

The 7-year verdict in Lodi changes at the point shown by each line, while everything else remains unchanged.

Renting comes out ahead when

  • Home prices grow less than 5.1% a year; the calculation uses California's 5.3% long-run rate.
  • The mortgage rate remains higher than 7.49%.
  • A similar home rents for under $2,200 a month (the typical rate here is $2,278).
  • Before year 7, you move.

Buying comes out ahead when

  • Home prices rise by more than 5.1% a year.
  • Your locked mortgage rate is below 7.49%, while today's is 7.24%.
  • You would pay over $2,200 monthly to rent that same home.
  • You remain for 7 years or longer.

How Lodi compares with the other 812 cities

MeasureLodiMedian city
Typical home value$508,738$422,451
Typical rent$2,278 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio18.6 (#400 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years4.8% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years3.6% a year4% a year
Property tax0.67%0.87%
Households that rent43%42%

Based on Zillow data covering ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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