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Rent vs buy in Moreno Valley, CA

In Moreno Valley, California, a typical rent runs $2,412 a month and a typical home goes for $549,871.

Rent vs buy Moreno Valley verdict card: A toss-up, with the two options separated by $3,265 across 7 years.
Toss-up

A toss-up, with the two options separated by $3,265 across 7 years.

Today's mortgage rate and 20% down apply to Moreno Valley's typical figures for rent and home value. The break-even point is year 7.

An opinion, clearly labeled, with the math shown. These are estimates, not quotes. If you change a number, the stamp will change too.

Gap
$3k
after 7 years
Break-even point
Year 7
when owning catches up
Full ownership cost
$4,631 /mo
year 1, against $2,412 rent

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Its inputs are the typical rent and the typical home value for Moreno Valley's market. Your rent, price and number of years can change the result.

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Fill in your own figures for rent, purchase price and the down payment. As they change, the stamp updates.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Moreno Valley?

After 7 years, the two options are within $3,265 of one another, so small changes settle it. In year 7, owning's net cost falls below renting's and remains lower.

Renting Owning Net cost to date, by year

$0$100k$200k$300kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

Comparing average rent and mortgage payment in Moreno Valley

Rent and the mortgage alone aren't the whole story; here is every monthly cost in year 1 at a price typical for Moreno Valley's market.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$2,412All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$2,998$2,642 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$3020.66% of the value a year
Insurance$105Census median for the city
Upkeep$4581% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$3,864$355 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$894What the cash would earn each year at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$2293.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$4,631Cash paid out, minus the equity portion, plus the two amounts above

The figures behind Moreno Valley's result

Typical home value Zillow ZHVI, September 2026
$549,871
Typical rent Zillow ZORI, September 2026
$2,412 /mo
A 20% down payment avoids private mortgage insurance. The engine doesn't model this.
20%
Source for mortgage rate: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
Source for home price growth: FHFA house price index, California, 1995 to 2025
Annual rate: 5.3%
Rent growthyearly growth in CPI rent of primary residence, 2006 to 2026
Annual rate: 3.5%
Return on savings 60% S&P 500 with dividends, 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced each year, 1928 to 2025
Annual rate: 8.3%
Property tax source: Census ACS 2020-2024, Moreno Valley
0.66% of the property's value
Home insurance source: Census ACS 2020-2024, Moreno Valley
Monthly cost: $105
Maintenance estimate from Fannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%
Each year: 1% of value
Buying costs Freddie Mac, midpoint between 2% and 5%
3.5% of the price
Costs when selling: Agent commission plus closing costs
6% of the price

What would reverse the result in Moreno Valley?

Each line marks the point where the 7-year verdict changes for Moreno Valley, with everything else held as it is.

Renting comes out ahead when

  • Home prices grow by less than 5.2% a year, and our model uses California's long-run rate of 5.3%.
  • The mortgage rate remains above 7.34%.
  • A similar home rents for under $2,380 a month (the typical amount here is $2,412).
  • Moving before year 7.

When buying comes out ahead

  • Home prices grow by more than 5.2% a year.
  • You lock in a mortgage rate under 7.34% (today's is 7.24%).
  • The same home would cost more than $2,380 a month to rent.
  • You remain for 7 years or more.

Moreno Valley compared with the other 812 cities

MeasureMoreno ValleyMedian city
Typical home value$549,871$422,451
Typical rent$2,412 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio19.0 (#387 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years6.7% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years3.3% a year4% a year
Property tax0.66%0.87%
Households that rent37%42%

Data from Zillow's ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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