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Rent vs buy in Thornton, CO

The figures for Thornton, Colorado: typical rent $1,894 /mo, typical home $489,037.

Rent vs buy Thornton verdict card: Over 7 years, renting comes out ahead by $26k
Rent

Over 7 years, renting comes out ahead by $26k

Today's mortgage rate is included with Thornton's typical rent and home value, along with 20% down. The break-even point is year 10.

Estimates, not quotes. Clearly labelled opinion, with the math shown Adjust a number and the stamp shifts.

Renting leads by
$26k
after 7 years
Where it breaks even
Year 10
when owning catches up
What owning really costs
$4,139 a month
year 1, against $1,894 rent

Change my numbers

Thornton's typical rent and home value drive the stamp. Your rent, price and years may change the outcome.

Are your numbers different from the city's?

Enter your rent, purchase price and down payment. Those figures change what the stamp says.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Thornton?

Count the money that comes back to you when you sell, and renting is cheaper by $25,883 over 7 years. For the first 9 years, renting is the cheaper choice. In year 10, owning catches up.

The renting option. The owning option. Your net cost to date, tracked each year.

$0$50k$100k$150k$200kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

How Thornton's average rent compares with the mortgage payment

At Thornton's typical price, year 1 has monthly costs beyond rent and the mortgage. Here are all of them.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$1,894All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$2,666$2,350 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$2280.56% of the value a year
Insurance$155Census median for the city
Upkeep$4081% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$3,457$316 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$795At 8.3% a year, this is what the cash would earn.
Buying costs, spread out$2043.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$4,139Take the cash out, subtract the equity part, then add the two lines above.

The numbers that produce the Thornton verdict

Typical home value Zillow ZHVI, September 2026
$489,037
Typical rent Zillow ZORI, September 2026
$1,894 a month
The engine doesn't model private mortgage insurance, but a 20% down payment avoids it.
20%
The mortgage rate comes from Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US).
7.24%
Growth in home prices: FHFA house-price index for Colorado, 1995 to 2025
5.2% each year
Rent growth: yearly growth in CPI rent of primary residence, 2006 to 2026
Each year, the rate is 3.5%.
Savings return60% S&P 500 (dividends included), 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced each year, 1928 to 2025
The yearly figure is 8.3%.
Property tax comes from Census ACS 2020-2024, Thornton.
Value multiplied by 0.56%.
Home insurance comes from Census ACS 2020-2024, Thornton.
The monthly amount is $155.
Maintenance comes from Fannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%.
The yearly amount equals 1% of value.
Buying costs come from Freddie Mac, middle of 2% to 5%.
The amount equals 3.5% of price.
Selling costs are Agent commission plus closing costs.
The amount equals 6% of price.

What could change the Thornton result?

In Thornton, each line marks where the 7-year verdict changes while all other figures stay fixed.

Rent wins under these conditions

  • With home price growth under 5.8% a year, we apply 5.2%, Colorado's long-run rate.
  • This condition applies when the rate remains over 6.30%.
  • A home like this one rents for under $2,170 a month, and the typical rent here is $1,894.
  • Moving before year 10.

When buying wins

  • Home prices increase by more than 5.8% each year.
  • The mortgage rate you lock in is below 6.30%; today's rate is 7.24%.
  • That same home would cost more than $2,170 a month to rent.
  • Staying 10 years or longer.

Thornton compared with the other 812 cities

MeasureThorntonMedian city
Typical home value$489,037$422,451
Typical rent$1,894 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio21.5 (#265 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years4.8% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years1.7% a year4% a year
Property tax0.56%0.87%
Households that rent29%42%

Sources: Zillow ZHVI plus ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

More cities in Colorado

Rent vs buy: Colorado statewide numbers