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Rent vs buy in Victoria, TX

In Victoria, Texas, the typical rent is $1,169 a month and the typical home is $214,046.

Rent vs buy Victoria verdict card: Over 7 years, renting wins by $13k
Rent

Over 7 years, renting wins by $13k

Applying today's mortgage rate and 20% down to Victoria's typical rent and typical home value. The break-even point comes in year 11.

Our opinion, clearly labelled, with the math shown. These are estimates, not quotes. Change any number and the stamp updates.

Renting is ahead by
$13k
after 7 years
Break-even point
year 11
when owning catches up
The true cost of owning
$2,082 /mo
year 1, against $1,169 rent

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Which costs less in Victoria, renting or buying?

Counting the money that comes back to you when you sell, renting costs $13,493 less over 7 years. For the first 10 years, renting costs less. By year 11, owning catches up.

The renting option. The owning option. Cumulative net cost, by year.

$0$50k$100k$150k$200kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

Average rent compared with mortgage payment in Victoria

Monthly costs go beyond rent and mortgage payments, so here are all year 1 costs at Victoria's typical price.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$1,169All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$1,167$1,029 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$2711.52% of the value a year
Insurance$167Census median for the city
Upkeep$1781% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$1,783$138 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$348The amount the cash would earn yearly at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$893.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$2,082Subtract the equity part from cash out, then add the two lines above.

Behind the Victoria verdict: the numbers

Typical home valueZillow ZHVI, September 2026
$214,046
Typical rentZillow ZORI, September 2026
$1,169 /mo
Down payment20% avoids private mortgage insurance, which the engine does not model
20%
Mortgage rateFreddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
Home price growthFHFA house price index, Texas, 1995 to 2025
4.7% a year
Rent growthCPI rent of primary residence, yearly growth 2006 to 2026
3.5% a year
Return on savings60% S&P 500 with dividends and 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced yearly, 1928 to 2025
8.3% a year
Property taxCensus ACS 2020-2024, Victoria
1.52% of value
Home insuranceCensus ACS 2020-2024, Victoria
$167 /mo
MaintenanceFannie Mae, low end of 1% to 4%
1% of value a year
Buying costsFreddie Mac, middle of 2% to 5%
3.5% of price
Selling costsAgent commission plus closing costs
6% of price

What would change the result in Victoria?

Each line shows where the 7-year verdict for Victoria changes, with all other factors left unchanged.

Renting wins if

  • Annual home price growth stays under 5.5%; we use 4.7%, which is the long-run rate for Texas's market.
  • The mortgage rate remains above 6.12%.
  • For a home like this, the monthly rent is under $1,310 (the typical rent here is $1,169).
  • Moving before year 11.

Buying wins if

  • Home prices rise at more than 5.5% a year.
  • You lock in a mortgage rate under 6.12% (today's is 7.24%).
  • You'd pay more than $1,310 a month to rent the same home.
  • You stay 11 years or more.

Victoria compared with the other 812 cities

MeasureVictoriaMedian city
Typical home value$214,046$422,451
Typical rent$1,169 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio15.3 (#613 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years3.5% a year6.2% a year
Property tax1.52%0.87%
Households that rent42%42%

Sources: Zillow ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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Rent or buy in Texas: the state's numbers