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Rent vs buy in Avondale, AZ

In Avondale, Arizona, the typical rent is $1,658 /mo and the typical home value is $392,912.

Rent vs buy Avondale verdict card: A toss-up: over 7 years, the gap is $1,282
Toss-up

A toss-up: over 7 years, the gap is $1,282

Today's mortgage rate applies, with 20% down, alongside Avondale's typical rent and home value. The break-even point is year 8.

Clearly labelled opinion, with the calculations included. Treat these as estimates rather than quotes. The stamp changes when you change a number.

Gap
$1k
after 7 years
When costs match
Year 8
when owning catches up
What owning really costs
$3,251 each month
year 1, against $1,658 rent

Change my numbers

Avondale's typical rent and home value drive the stamp. Your rent, price and years can flip the result.

Do your numbers differ from the city's?

Enter your rent, price and down payment. The stamp updates with those figures.

In Avondale, is it cheaper to rent or buy?

Over 7 years, both options land within $1,282 of one another, and small changes decide which one wins. For the first 7 years, renting costs less. In year 8, owning catches up.

Renting option. The owning path. Net cost to date, by year.

$0$50k$100k$150k$200kyr 1yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 9yr 11yr 13yr 15

Average rent compared with the mortgage payment in Avondale

Rent and the mortgage don't tell the whole story. Here are all the monthly costs in year 1, based on Avondale's typical price.

Each month, year 1AmountWhat it is
Rent$1,658All of it, every month
Mortgage payment$2,142$1,888 of it is interest in year 1
Property tax$1510.46% of the value a year
Insurance$82Census median for the city
Upkeep$3271% of the value a year
Owning, cash out$2,702$254 of it builds equity
Lost return on the down payment$639What the cash would earn yearly at 8.3%
Buying costs, spread out$1643.5% of the price over 7 years
True cost of owning$3,251Cash out, take out the equity part, and add both lines listed above

The data behind Avondale's verdict

Typical home value, Zillow ZHVI, September 2026
$392,912
Typical rent, Zillow ZORI, September 2026
$1,658 each month
Down payment: 20% avoids private mortgage insurance, which the engine doesn't model
20%
Mortgage rate, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (FRED MORTGAGE30US)
7.24%
Growth in home prices: FHFA house price index for Arizona, 1995 through 2025
5.2% each year
Rent growth: CPI for primary residence rent, yearly growth, 2006 to 2026
3.5% each year
Savings return: 40% 10-year Treasuries and 60% S&P 500 with dividends, rebalanced yearly, 1928 to 2025
8.3% each year
Property tax: Census ACS 2020-2024, Avondale
0.46% of the value
Home insurance: Census ACS 2020-2024, Avondale
$82 per month
UpkeepFannie Mae, low end, 1% to 4%
Each year, 1% of the value
Purchase costs Freddie Mac, midpoint of 2% to 5%
That's 3.5% of the price
Costs of sellingAgent commission and closing costs
6% of the price

What would flip the Avondale result?

The 7-year verdict in Avondale flips at each of these points, with all other factors held constant.

When renting wins

  • Home prices grow at under 5.2% each year (our 5.2% figure is Arizona's long-run rate).
  • The rate on a mortgage remains above 7.18%.
  • For a home like this, monthly rent is under $1,670; the local typical figure is $1,658.
  • Your move happens before year 8.

When buying wins

  • Home prices grow by more than 5.2% each year.
  • You lock in a mortgage rate under 7.18% (today's mortgage rate is 7.24%).
  • For that same home, monthly rent would exceed $1,670.
  • You remain 8 years or longer.

Avondale compared with the other 812 cities

MeasureAvondaleMedian city
Typical home value$392,912$422,451
Typical rent$1,658 /mo$1,837 /mo
Price-to-rent ratio19.7 (#343 of 813)18.5
Home prices, last 10 years6.8% a year6.2% a year
Rents, last 5 years0.1% a year4% a year
Property tax0.46%0.87%
Households that rent38%42%

Data from Zillow ZHVI and ZORI, Census ACS 2020-2024.

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